Updated daily · South Africa

Football predictions that show their working

Our model prices every fixture, compares it to the bookmaker, and publishes only the selections where it finds a real edge. Free picks daily. Every result logged — wins and losses.

Publishing has not started. No performance claim is shown until reviewed tips have settled.

Today's free picksLive
Primeira Liga +20.03% edge 2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z

Maritimo v Casa Pia

Match result 2.86
60% confidence
Eredivisie +1.67% edge 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z

PSV Eindhoven v Fortuna Sittard

Under 2.5 goals 1.20
80% confidence
Eredivisie +5.12% edge 2026-08-09T10:15:00.000Z

Sparta Rotterdam v Feyenoord

Match result 1.67
80% confidence
No verified results yetPublishing has not started. Results and ROI appear only after reviewed selections settle.
This week's sheet

Soccer 10 — current fixture list

A worked example of what every pool sheet on the site looks like. Selections update automatically from the fixtures feed.

Soccer 10 fixture list with model selections and confidence
#FixturePickModel confidence
The next fixture list has not been published yet. The analysed sheet appears here as soon as it is out.

1 = home win · X = draw · 2 = away win. Confidence is the model's estimated probability for the selected outcome, not a guarantee.

How it works

Three things most tipster sites won't do

We publish the losers

Every prediction goes into the results table the moment it settles. A tipster who only shows you winners is showing you a marketing page, not a record.

We show the edge, not just the pick

Each selection carries the model's probability and the gap between that and the bookmaker's price. If there's no gap, we don't publish a bet.

We tell you how we're paid

We earn commission when you open an account through our links. That's disclosed on every page and it never changes a rating or a selection.

Where to bet

Licensed South African betting sites

Our picks are priced against the market. These are the licensed operators we rate for getting them on at a fair price.

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AI football predictions for South African punters

Most prediction sites publish a list of selections and leave it there. You cannot tell whether the tips are any good, where the numbers came from, or how the site makes money. Ten to One is built the other way round.

What the model actually does

For every fixture we build a probability for each outcome using recent form, expected-goals data, head-to-head record, home and away splits, rest days between matches, and squad availability. That probability is then compared against the bookmaker's price converted into an implied probability. Where our number is meaningfully higher than theirs, there is an edge, and the selection is published. Where it isn't, nothing is published — which is why some days carry fewer picks than others.

Why we cover Soccer 6, Soccer 10 and Soccer 13

South Africa's pool games work differently to a straight bet. You are predicting a fixed list of results, so the skill is in knowing which legs are close to certain and which are genuine coin-flips worth covering with a double. We publish the full sheet before each deadline with a confidence figure on every match, so you can decide where to spend your combinations.

What we will never tell you

We will never call a bet a sure win. No prediction is a guarantee. Our model estimates probabilities — it does not know results. Anyone promising sure wins is not being honest with you. A good model loses regularly — it just loses less than the price implies. Judge us on the published record, not on a headline.

Questions

Straight answers

Are your football predictions free?

Yes. Three selections are published free on the site every day. Creating a free account unlocks the rest of the day's picks, the confidence score behind each one, and the Soccer 10, Soccer 13 and Soccer 6 pool sheets.

How does the AI model make its predictions?

The model reviews recent form, expected-goals data, head-to-head history, home and away splits, rest days, and the current market price. It produces a probability for each outcome, then compares that probability to the bookmaker's implied odds. A pick is published only where our probability is meaningfully higher than the market's.

Do you guarantee winning bets?

No, and you should not trust anyone who does. Our model estimates probability, it does not know results. We publish every prediction with its outcome, including the losing ones, so you can judge the record yourself.

What are Soccer 10, Soccer 13 and Soccer 6?

They are South African fixed-odds pool games where you predict the result of a set list of matches. Soccer 6 covers six matches, Soccer 10 covers ten, and Soccer 13 covers thirteen. We publish a full analysed sheet for each before the entry deadline.

Do you accept bets?

No. Ten to One is an information and affiliate referral service. Bets are placed with licensed South African operators, and we earn a commission when you open an account through our links.

Is online betting legal in South Africa?

Sports betting with a licensed bookmaker is legal in South Africa for people aged 18 and over. Operators must hold a licence from a provincial gambling board. Always check that the operator you use is licensed.

18+

Bet responsibly

Winners know when to stop. Only gamble with money you can afford to lose.

No prediction is a guarantee. Our model estimates probabilities — it does not know results. Anyone promising sure wins is not being honest with you.

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